FINAL AGENDA
TENTH U.S. ARMY CONFERENCE ON APPLIED STATISTICS
20-22 October, 2004
Georgia Tech Hotel & Conference Center, Atlanta, GA
Hosted by:
U.S. Army Research Laboratory
Cosponsored by:U.S. Army Research Laboratory
U.S. Army Research Office
TRADOC Analysis Center-WSMR
Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences
Walter Reed Army Institute of ResearchCooperating Organizations:
Los Alamos National Laboratory
George Mason University
Office of Naval Research
Institute for Defense AnalysesMonday, October 18
0800 - 0830 REGISTRATION (Conference B)
0830 - 1200 TUTORIAL (Conference B)
Quantitative Graphics and Visual Analytics for Communication and Discovery
Dan Carr, George Mason University
1200 - 1315 Lunch
1315 - 1600 TUTORIAL (Conference B)
Tuesday, October 19
0830 - 1200 TUTORIAL (Conference B)
1200 - 1315 Lunch
1315 - 1600 TUTORIAL (Conference B)
1830 - Social and Registration (Salons 1 & 2)
Wednesday, October 20
0800 - 0830 REGISTRATION (Conference B)
0830 - 0900 CALL TO ORDER (Conference B)
Barry Bodt, Conference Chair, U.S. Army Research Laboratory
Welcome
James Gantt, Dir(A), Computational & Information Sciences Directorate, U.S.Army Research Laboratory0900 - 1030 GENERAL SESSION I (Conference B)
Chair: David Cruess, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences
Models for Anthrax: Antibiotics and Vaccines
Ron Brookmeyer, Johns Hopkins University (Keynote Address)
The Challenges of Streaming Data
Bill Szewczyk, National Security Administration1030 - 1045 Break
1045 - 1215
CONTRIBUTED SESSION I (Conference B)
Chair: J. Robert Burge, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research
System Engineering Approach and Metrics for Evaluating Digitization for the U.S. Army Battle Command
Jock O. Grynovicki and Jean Breitenbach, U.S. Army Research LaboratoryA Bayesian Framework for Statistical, Multi-Modal Sensor Fusion
Michael J. Smith, United States Military Academy, West Point
Anuj Srivastava, Florida State UniversityVisual Analytics for Streaming Internet Traffic
Edward J. Wegman, George Mason University
Karen Kafadar, University of Colorado, DenverCONTRIBUTED SESSION II (Conference D)
Chair: Arthur Fries, Institute for Defense Analyses
A Noninformative Prior Bayesian Approach to Reliability Growth Projection
Paul M. Ellner, J Brian Hall, U.S. Army Materiel Systems Analysis Activity
Getting the Most Bang for the Buck: Optimal System Design Under Reliability and Economic Constraints
Francisco J. Samaniego, University of California, Davis
Parametric Estimators for False Discovery Rates
Harry L. Hurd, Harry L. Hurd Assoc and Adjunct Prof., UNC Chapel Hill1215 - 1315 Lunch
1315 - 1445SPECIAL SESSION I: Statistical Text Processing (Conference B)
Organizers: Carey Priebe, Johns Hopkins University and Ed Wegman, George Mason University
Chair: Dave Marchette, Naval Surface Warfare Center
Recursive Bipartite Spectral Clustering for Document Categorization
Jeffrey L. Solka and Avory C. Bryant, Naval Surface Warfare Center
Edward J. Wegman*, George Mason UniversityIterative Denoising for Cross-Corpus Discovery
Carey Priebe, Johns Hopkins UniversityIterative maximization of Mutual Information in Integrated Sensing and Processing Decision Trees for Unsupervised Classification
Damianos Karakos, Johns Hopkins University1445 - 1500 Break
1500 - 1630
CONTRIBUTED SESSION III (Conference B)
Chair: Robyn Lee, U.S. Army Center for Health Promotion and Preventive Medicine and U.S. Army Medical Research Institute of Chemical Defense
STATISTICS COUNTS! - Examples of the Impact of Statistical Analyses on the Operational Test and Evaluation of Major Defense Systems
Arthur Fries, Institute for Defense AnalysesEstablishing the Center for Data Analysis and Statistics (CDAS) at the United States Military Academy
LTC Rodney X. Sturdivant, United StatesMilitary Academy, West Point, NYFallacies and Myths in Elementary Statistics
Bernard Harris, University of Wisconsin, Madison
CLINICAL SESSION (Conference D)
Chair: Jay Convover, Texas Tech University
A Sequential Stopping Rule for Determining the Number of Replications Necessary when Several Measures of Effectiveness are of Interest
Anthony J. Quinzi and Paul Deason, TRADOC Analysis Center - WSMRDetermining A Minimal Alternatives Replication Set For Constructive Combat Simulation
Paul J. Deason, U.S. Army TRADOC Analysis Center WSMR, NMA Simulation Experiment for Assessing Adaptive Tactical Behaviors of Autonomous Ground Vehicles
Barry A. Bodt, U.S. Army Research LaboratoryPanel:
James R. Thompson, Rice University
Russell Lenth, University of Iowa1630 - 1645 Break
1645 - 1730 GENERAL SESSION II (Conference B)
Chair: Carl Russell, CTR Analytics
Data Mining in Homeland Defense
David Banks, Duke University1830 - 2100 WILKS AWARD BANQUET (Foyer 1 & 2), (Salon 1 & 2)
1830 - SOCIAL
1930 - BANQUET
2000 - BANQUET ADDRESSPublic Health Preparedness Informatics
John W. Loonsk, M.D., Associate Director for Informatics, CDC2030 - AWARD PRESENTATION
Jock Grynovicki, U.S. Army Research Laboratory
Thursday, October 21
0830 - 0915 GENERAL SESSION III (Conference B)
Chair: David Webb, U.S. Army Research Laboratory
Consensus Inference in Multi-Subject fMRI: An Old Problem Meets a New Technology
Mark Vangel, Massachusetts General Hospital
0915 - 0930 Break
0930 - 1030
CONTRIBUTED SESSION IV (Conference B)
Chair: Douglas Tang, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences
Extrapolating Testing for Biological Warfare Agents from the Laboratory to a Field Environment
Charlie E. Holman, Army Evaluation Center
Carl T. Russell, CTR Analytics
Chuck Jennings, EAI CorporationDetecting Bio-Terrorist Attacks by Monitoring Non-Traditional Data Streams Using Wavelets
Galit Shmueli and Bernard L. Dillard,* University of Maryland, College Park
CONTRIBUTED SESSION V (Conference D)Chair: Robert Launer, U.S. Army Research Office
Distributions of the Frequency of Waiting k Years for the Next Record
Jayaram Sethuraman, Florida State UniversitySome Things Economists Know That Just Aren't So
James R. Thompson, Rice University1030 - 1045 Break
1045 - 1215
SPECIAL SESSION II Recent Advances in Engineering Statistics (Conference B)
Chair: C.F. Jeff Wu, Georgia Tech
Estimating Load-Sharing Properties in a Dynamic Reliability Model
Paul Kvam, Georgia TechAdaptive Designs for Stochastic Root-Finding
Roshan Joseph, Georgia TechBuilding Surrogate Models Based on Detailed and Approximate Simulations
C.F. Jeff Wu, Georgia Tech1215 - 1315 Lunch
1315 - 1445
CONTRIBUTED SESSION VI (Conference B)
Chair: Lee Dewald, Virginia Military Institute
Residual Based Goodness-of-fit Statistics for Logistic Hierarchical Regression Models
LTC Rodney X. Sturdivant, United States Military Academy, West PointRecurrent Event Modeling Using Survival Analysis Techniques, with Application to Hospitalizations of Army Recruits
Yuanzhang Li and Timothy Powers, Walter Reed Army Institute of ResearchModeling a Binary Response Variable Using L2E
David Kim, Manhatten CollegeCONTRIBUTED SESSION VII (Conference D)
Chair: Eric Snyder, U.S. Army Research Laboratory
An Evaluation of Advanced Aluminum Alloys for Armor and Structural Applications
John Chinella, U.S. Army Research Laboratory
Interval Estimates for Probabilities of Penetration Using a Generalized Pivotal Quantity
David W. Webb, U.S. Army Research LaboratoryForensic Analysis: Statistical Comparison of Bullet Lead Compositions
Karen Kafadar, University of Colorado, Denver1445 - 1500 Break
1500 - 1630 SPECIAL SESSION III (Conference B)
THE VOLUME-OF-TUBE FORMULA, PERTURBATION, MIXTURE MODELS AND APPLICATIONS
Organizers: Ramani S. Pilla and Catherine Loader, Case Western Reserve University
Chair: Catherine Loader, Case Western Reserve UniversityApplications of the Volume of Tubes Formula in Functional NeuroImaging
Jonathan Taylor, Stanford University
The Volume-of-Tube Formula: Applications to Perturbation and Mixture Models
Ramani S. Pilla and Catherine Loader, Case Western Reserve University
Perturbation Theory and Mixture Models: Application to Particle Physics
Cyrus Taylor, Case Western Reserve University
Friday, October 220830 - 0915 GENERAL SESSION IV (Conference B)
Chair: David Kim, Manhattan College
Mixed-Effects Models for Organizational Data
Douglas M. Bates, University of Wisconsin, Madison
MAJ Paul Bliese, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research
0915 - 0930 Break
0930- 1100CONTRIBUTED SESSION VIII (Conference B)
Chair: Jackie Telford, Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory
Reducing Simulation Runs for Future Combat System Key Performance Parameter Analysis
LTC Thomas M. Cioppa, U.S. Army Training and Doctrine Command Analysis CenterA Monte Carlo Simulation of the Kriging Model
Jay D. Martin, Applied Research Laboratory, State College
Timothy W. Simpson, The Pennsylvania State University, University ParkResearch Directions in Adaptive Mixtures and Model-Based Clustering
Wendy L. Martinez, Office of Naval Research
Jeffrey L. Solka, Naval Surface Warfare Center1100- 1115 Break
1115 - 1200 GENERAL SESSION V (Conference B)
Chair: Barry Bodt, U.S. Army Research Laboratory
Techniques for Sample Size
Russell Lenth, University of Iowa
1200 - ADJOURN