11th Meeting of the Army Conference on Applied Statistics
The eleventh Army Conference on Applied Statistics was hosted by the Naval Postgraduate School in Monterey California and attended by approximately 80 individuals from the DoD, industry and academia. The pleasant surroundings and superb facilities at NPS contributed to an enjoyable and rewarding meeting. The conference begain with a tutorial offered by Douglas Bates from the University of Wisconsin on Mixed-effects Models using R. The tutorial featured many routines and much hands on experience with the software. Five excellant speakers anchored the general sessions. Three special sessions and a wide array of contributed papers rounded out the conference. The complete agenda follows.
FINAL AGENDA
ELEVENTH U.S. ARMY CONFERENCE ON APPLIED STATISTICS
A Conference of the Interface Foundation of North AmericaNaval Postgraduate School, Monterey
19-21 October, 2005
Hosted by the Naval Post Graduate School and TRAC-Monterey
Monday, October 17
0800 - 0830 REGISTRATION (ME Auditorium)
0830 - 1200 TUTORIAL (ME Auditorium)
Mixed-effects Models Using R
Douglas Bates, University of Wisconsin1200 - 1315 Lunch
1315 - 1600 TUTORIAL (ME Auditorium)
Tuesday, October 18
0830 - 1200 TUTORIAL (ME Auditorium)
1200 - 1315 Lunch
1315 - 1600 TUTORIAL (ME Auditorium)
1830 - Social and Registration (Knuckles Historical Sports Bar, Hyatt Regency)Wednesday, October 19
0800 - 0830 REGISTRATION (ME Auditorium)
0830 - 0900 CALL TO ORDER AND WELCOME (ME Auditorium)
Barry Bodt, Conference Chair, U.S. Army Research Laboratory
0900 - 0945 GENERAL SESSION I: Keynote Address
Chair: Robert Launer, U.S. Army Research Office
Regression Models You Can See
Wei-Yin Loh, University of Wisconsin, Madison0945 - 1000 Break
1000 - 1200
SPECIAL SESSION I: Modeling, Analysis, and Control of Network Traffic (ME Auditorium)
Chair: Mou-Hsiung (Harry) Chang, US Army Research Office
Modeling, Analysis, and Control of Network Traffic
Mou-Hsiung (Harry) Chang, US Army Research OfficeHeavy Traffic Methods in Wireless Systems: from Brownian Models Towards General Lévy Driven Models and Incorporating Time-Delays
Robert T. Buche and Jim X. Zhang, North Carolina State UniversityControl of Multi-Node Mobile Communications Networks with Time Varying Channels via Stability Method
Harold Kushner, Brown UniversityA Cross-Layer Design Approach to Opportunistic Resource Allocation in Mobile Wireless Networks
R. K. Prasanth and Joao B. D. Cabrera, Scientific Systems Company, Inc.
Cesar Santivanez and Ram Ramanathan, BBN Technologies
CONTRIBUTED SESSION I (Ingersoll Room 122)
Chair: Lee Dewald, Virginia Military Institute
Evaluating Maintenance Procedures Using Hypergeometric Sampling in Order to Reduce Resources Required for Logistics Demonstrations
John Sereno, US Army Evaluation CenterMANPRINT Assessment of an Army's Rapid Materiel Equipping Initiative for the Persistent Surveillance and Dissemination System Of Systems
Jock O. Grynovicki, US Army Research Laboratory
Steve Abdalla, MSA Incorporated
Jean S. Breitenbach, US Army Research Laboratory
Teresa A. Branscome, US Army Research Laboratory
A Stochastic Usage Model for Testing Multi-Stage Systems
Donald P. Gaver and Patrica A. Jacobs, Naval Postgraduate School
Kevin D. Glazebrook, Lancaster University
Ernest A. Seglie, Office of the Director, Operational Test and EvaluationToward Measuring Aspects of Mission Performance Involving Unmanned Ground Vehicles
Barry Bodt and Rick Camden, US Army Research Laboratory
1200 - 1315 Lunch
1315 - 1445CONTRIBUTED SESSION II (ME Auditorium)
Chair: LTC Andrew Glen, United States Military Academy
Wavelet Density Estimation for Streaming Data
LCDR Kyle Caudle, U. S. Naval AcademyDisaggregating Times Series Data
Shirley Bleasdale Joubert, Tom Burr, and James C. Scovel, Los Alamos National LaboratoryGraphical Displays and Methods for Analyzing Internet Traffic Data for Potential Cyberattacks
Karen Kafadar, University of Colorado-Denver
David J. Marchette, Naval Surface Warfare Center
Edward J. Wegman, George Mason UniversityCONTRIBUTED SESSION III (Ingersoll Room 122)
Chair: David Cruess, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences
Data Normalization and Combination in Biological Studies: Application to Schizophrenia and Bipolar Disorder Study
Yuanzhang Li, David Cowan, David Niebuhr, Amy Millikan, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research
Robert Yolken, Johns Hopkins UniversityAn Event Based Parametric Model for the Evaluation of Fit Factors in Full Face Respirator Masks
David Charles Bedard, Army Evaluation CenterPrincipal Components Analysis of ECoG Frequency and Seizure-Induced Brain Lesion Volume
Robyn B. Lee, US Army Medical Research Institute of Chemical Defense
Gerald P.H. Ballough, La Salle University
Margaret G. Filbert, US Army Medical Research Institute of Chemical Defense1445 - 1500 Break
1500 - 1545
GENERAL SESSION II (ME Auditorium)
Chair: Douglas Tang, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences
Reliability Reloaded
Sallie Keller-McNulty, Rice University
1545 - 1600 Break
1600-1730
SPECIAL SESSION II: Reliability (ME Auditorium)
Chair: Alyson Wilson, Los Alamos National Laboratory
X-Testing using Binary Data with Applications to Reliability Demonstration Plans
David Mease, University of California-Berkeley
Vijay Nair, University of MichiganSystems Reliability and Experiment Planning
Alyson Wilson, Los Alamos National LaboratoryIntegrating System and Component Tests for Reliability Assessment
George Lopez, Marine Corps Program Department
Todd Graves, Los Alamos National Laboratory
CONTRIBUTED SESSION IV (Ingersoll Room 122)
Chair: Bernard Harris, University of Wisconsin
Decision Theory Based Classification of High-dimensional Vectors Based on Small Samples
David Bradshaw and Marianna Pensky, University of Central FloridaSelf-consistency in the Context of Bayesian Inference
Francisco J. Samaniego, University of California, DavisA Generalized Inference Approach to Estimating Hit Probabilities on a Rectangular Target
David W. Webb, US Army Research Laboratory
1830 - 2100 WILKS AWARD BANQUET (Barbara McNitt Ballroom)
1830 - SOCIAL
1930 - DINNER
2015 - BANQUET ADDRESSNancy Spruill, Director, Acquisition Resources & Analysis, OSD
Capabilities Based Planning & Acquisition2045 - AWARD PRESENTATION
Jock Grynovicki, U.S. Army Research Laboratory
Thursday, October 20
0815 - 0945 GENERAL SESSION III (ME Auditorium)
Chair: Paul Deason, Science Application International Corporation
Spatial Network Design to Detect Regional Trends in Ground Level Ozone
Zhengyuan Zhu, University of North CarolinaPutting Quantitative Risks in a Qualitative Context
Barbara Billauer, University of Maryland
0945 - 1000 Break
1000 - 1130
CONTRIBUTED SESSION V (ME Auditorium)
Chair: David Webb, US Army Research Laboratory
Deterrence Theory for Layered Defenses
Arthur Fries, Institute for Defense AnalysesAutomated Metadata
Edward J. Wegman and Faleh Alshameri, George Mason UniversityInspection and Other Strategies for Homeland Security
James R. Thompson, Rice University
CONTRIBUTED SESSION VI (Ingersoll Room 122)Chair: Robyn B. Lee, US Army Medical Research Institute of Chemical Defense
A New Look at the Regression Statistic R-squared
Donald MacKenzie,Wyle Laboratories, Inc.Binary and Ordinal Probit Models and the Method of Maximum Likelihood Estimation Applied to Small Sample Sizes
Douglas R. Sommerville, US Army Edgewood Chemical Biological CenterDoes Translation Quality Predict Document Usefulness? Results from Modeling Task-Based Performance Using Automated Machine Translation Evaluation Metrics
Calandra R. Tate, US Army Research Laboratory1130 - 1245 Lunch
1245 - 1415
SPECIAL SESSION III: Research at NPS (ME Auditorium)
Chair: David Olwell, Naval Postgraudate School
Data Visualization with Lattice and Ggobi
Sam Buttrey, Naval Postgraduate SchoolAssessing the Accuracy of Overhead Scoring of Munition Impact Points
Bob Koyak and Lyn Whitaker, Naval Postgraduate SchoolExperimental Designs for Large Scale Military Simulation Experiments
Susan Sanchez and Paul Sanchez, Naval Postgraduate SchoolCONTRIBUTED SESSION VII (Ingersoll Room 122)
Chair: Robert Burge, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research
Application of the MARS/RSM Procedure to Determine Design Optima in Complex Structures
MAJ Scott T. Crino, US Army, University of Virginia
Donald E. Brown, University of Virginia
Statistical Analysis of Impurity Atoms in Semiconductor Crystals
Bernard Harris, University of Wisconsin-Madison
John M. Zavada, U.S. Army Research OfficeOn the Construction of Restricted G-Optimal Central Composite Designs
Trevor A. Craney, Sikorsky1415 - 1430 Break
1430 - 1600
CONTRIBUTED SESSION VIII (ME Auditorium)
Chair: Eric Snyder, US Army Research Laboratory
Statistical Analyses of Test Data on Mine Clearing
Jacqueline K. Telford, The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory
Reliability Of Self-Perceived Health Changes In Pre- And Post-Deployment Health Assessment Questionnaires
Joey Zhou, Ph.D. USA Center for Health Promotion and Preventive Medicine
Trends in Enlisted Military Applicants and Gains, 2000 - 2004
Timothy Powers, Weiwei Han, and Yuanzhang Li, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research
CONTRIBUTED SESSION IX (Ingersoll Room 122)
Chair: Jock Grynovicki, US Army Research Laboratory
Cluster-based Inference on Distribution of Spherical Data
Harry L. Hurd, Harry L. Hurd Assoc.Adaptation of an Alcohol Ecological Agent-Based to Homeland Security
Yasmin H. Said, George Mason UniversityEstimating Enemy Using Capture-Recapture
Doug H. Frank, Indiana University of Pennsylvania1600 - 1615 Break
1615-1700 GENERAL SESSION IV (ME Auditorium)
Chair: LTC Rodney Sturdivant, United States Military Academy
Chris Raphael, Indiana University
Music Plus One
Friday, October 210815 - 0900 GENERAL SESSION V (ME Auditorium)
Chair: Edward Wegman, George Mason University
Reliability and Survival in Financial Risk
Nozer Singpurwalla, George Washington University0900 - 0915 Break
0915 - 1015
CONTRIBUTED SESSION X (ME Auditorium)
Chair: Arthur Fries, Institute for Defense Analyses
A Nonparametric Reliability Growth Projection Based on Stein Estimation
J. Brian Hall and Paul M. Ellner, US Army Materiel Systems Analysis ActivityReliability Sampling Methodology Using Simulation and Re-Sampling
John Nierwinski, Jr., US Army Materiel Systems Analysis ActivityCONTRIBUTED SESSION XI (Ingersoll Room 122)
Chair: James R. Thompson, Rice University
Replacing Variance for Assessing Portfolio Risk
MAJ Ernest Y. Wong, United States Military AcademyEvolving Structure in Multivariate Time Series with Application to Financial Systems
Katherine B. Ensor, Rice University
1015 - 1030 Break
1030 - 1100 OPEN MEETING of the ACAS EXECUTIVE BOARD (ME Auditorium)Chair: Barry Bodt
1100 - ADJOURN