Program in Brief
The program outline appears below. We welcome technical papers discussing methods or applications with a potential
tie to defense and security issues. More details on the conference will
follow. Check http://www.armyconference.org for official updates.
- Welcome:
Gary O. Fowler, Department of Mathematics, United States Naval Academy
- Short Course:
Applied Logistic Regression
A
short course on logistic regression offered by COL Rodney Sturdivant
(United States Military Academy and Ohio State). The course will be
based on material from the soon to be published Hosmer, Lemeshow, and
Sturdivant update of the classic text on this topic.
- Invited Speakers:
- Bruce J. West (Army Research Office) Keynote
Army Network Science and Statistics
- Maksim Tsvetovat (George Mason University)
Topic: Agent Based Modeling and Simulation
- Sidney Resnick (Cornell University)
Heavy Tailed Statistics for Modeling Network Sessions
- Carey Priebe (Johns Hopkins University)
Vertex Nomination
- Peter Qian (University of Wisconsin, Madison)
Nested Latin Hypercube Designs
- Banquet Speaker:
- Jim Cheevers (Senior Curator and Associate Director, United States Naval Academy Museum)
- Special Sessions:
- Reliability
Organizer: Francisco Samaniego (University of California, Davis)
Chair: Carey Priebe (Johns Hopkins University)
William Q. Meeker (Iowa State University)
Prediction of Remaining Life of a Fleet of Assets Based on Left-Truncated, Right-Censored Data
Henry W. Block (University of Pittsburgh)
The Failure Rate of Mixtures
Francisco J. Samaniego (University of California, Davis)
Estimating Component Characteristics Based on Lifetime Data from Multiple Systems
- Game Theory
Organizer: Mou-Hsiung (Harry) Chang (US Army Research Office)
Nozer D. Singpurwalla (George Washington University)
Network Routing in an Adversarial Environment
Milind Tambe (University of Southern California)
Game Theory for Security: Lessons Learned from Deployed Applications
Amarjit Budhiraja (University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill)
A Stochastic Differential Game for the Infinity Laplacian
David Alderson, Naval Postgraduate School
Defending Critical Infrastructure Systems
- Army Applications
Organizer: COL Andrew Glen (United States Military Academy)
Kenneth L. Cameron*, Stephen W. Marshall**, Andrew E. Lincoln***, and
COL Rodney X. Sturdivant****
Trends in the Incidence of
Traumatic Brain Injury and Related Conditions Among Active Duty U.S.
Military Personnel Between 1997 and 2007
*Keller Army Hospital, West Point
**University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill
***MedStar Health Research Institute
****United States Military Academy
MAJ Christopher Eastburg, MAJ Benjamin Thirey, and MAJ Nicholas Clark (United States Military Academy)
Analyzing the Effectiveness of Commander's Emergency Relief Program (CERP) Spending in Iraq and Afghanistan
MAJ Christopher Marks, MAJ Kevin Cumminsky, LTC Billy Kaczynski, and COL Andrew Glen (United States Military Academy)
Applications of the Infinite Bootstrap: The Spare Tire Problem
- Contributed Sessions
- ARO Decision & Neuro Sciences Program: Stochastic Optimization
Organizer: Janet Spoonamore (US Army Research Office)
Combinatorial Framework for the Modeling and Solution of Probabilistic Optimization Problems
Miquel A. Lejeune (George Washington University)
Stochastic Network Design for Disaster Preparedness
Xing Hong (George Washington University Ph.D. Student), Miguel A.
Lejeune (George Washington University), and Nilay Noyan (Sabanci
University, Turkey)
Evaluating the Validity of Probability Assessments in Strategic and Realistic Environments
Prashant Doshi, Adam Goodie, Daniel Hall, Matthew Meisle, and Royi Ceren (University of Georgia)
Stochastic Resource-Constrained Project Scheduling and its Military Applications
Haitao Li and Keith Womer (University of Missouri, St. Louis)
- ARO Decision & Neuro Sciences Program: Inference Modeling
Organizer: Janet Spoonamore (US Army Research Office)
A Decision Theoretic Approach to Stochastic Linear Programming
Joshua Landon and Nozer D. Singpurwalla (George Washington University)
Stable Matchings with Additional Objectives
Craig Lennon (United States Military Academy)
A Mixed-integer Programming Model for Enforcing Priority List Policies in Markov Decision Process Models
Laura A. McLay (Virginia Commonwealth University)
Recent Advances in Reliability-based Design Optimization for Broader Army Applications
KK Choi (University of Iowa)
- Contributed Speakers:
- Maintainability Data Decision Methodology (MDDM)
John Nierwinski, Jr. (US Army Materiel Systems Analysis Activity)
Statistical Methods of Target Impact Dispersion Metrick for Small-Arms MIL-HDBK Development
Douglas Ray, Mike Brown, and Chad Bareither (Armament Research, Development and Engineering Center)
Density Dependent Utilities with Transaction Costs
Julius N. Esunge (University of Mary Washington)
Eriyoti Chikadza (Great Zimbabwe University)
Detection of Subgroups for Differential Treatment Effects
Wei-Yin Loh (University of Wisconsin-Madison)
A New General Purpose Method of Time Series Forecasting
Michael Frey (Bucknell University) and Kyle Caudle (South Dakota School of Mines and Technology)
A Spectral Technique to Explore the Asymmetric Flow of Information in Directed Networks
Karl Rohe (University of Wisconsin-Madison) and Bin Yu (University of California, Berkeley)
The Navy Officer Lateral Transfer Process and Retention: A Matched Analysis
Yevgeniya (Jane) Pinelis and Ann Parcell, CNA (Center for Naval Analyses)
A Mathematical Model of Network Communication
James Gatewood (United States Military Academy) and Donald Drew (Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute)
Mathematical Classification of Computational Trust Models
Craig Lennon (United States Military Academy)
Measuring Cooperation in Networks
Elisha Peterson (Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory)
Modeling Cooperation in Networks, Organizations, and Systems
Brian MacDonald and Chris Arney (United States Military Academy) and
Elisha Peterson (Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory)
Network Modeling of Insurgency and Counter-Insurgency Strategies and Operations
Chris Arney and Kathryn Coronges (United States Military Academy)
Inferences for Matched Case-control and Stratified Semiparametric Two-sample Density Ratio Models
Tianqing Liu (Walter Reed Army Institute of Research), Zhaohai Li
(George Washington University), and Yuanzhang Li (Walter Reed Army
Institute of Research)
A Network View of Pessimism in Military Units
CDT Evan Szablowski and Kathryn Coronges (United States Military Academy)
Aluminum 7020-T651 Characteristics and Ballistic Protection, with Regression Statistics of 5083 and 7039 Aluminum, and RHA Steel
John Chinella (US Army Research Laboratory)
Distributed Modal Identification Using Restricted Auto-Regressive Models
Guilherme V. Rocha (Indiana University), Shamim Pakzad (Lehigh University), and Bin Yu ( University of California, Berkeley)
A Statistical Analysis of Proposed Military Retirement Plans
CDT Joseph Lucas, MAJ Kevin Cumminskey and Robert Wooster (United States Military Academy)
Symbolic ARMA Model Analysis
Keith H. Webb and Lawrence M. Leemis (College of William & Mary)
Design of Genomic Studies Using the Square Combining Table
Karen Kafadar and Guilherme V. Rocha (Indiana University)
Imputation of Missing Round Data with Acoustic Target Systems to Estimate Dispersion Characteristics
Craig D. Andres, Jenna L. Preston, and Paul S. Kruse (US Army Aberdeen Test Center)
Analysis of Massive Microarray Data for Understanding Effects of Water Environments to Beetle Tissues
Guilherme V. Rocha,* Karen Kafadar,* Armin Moczek,** Teija Kijimoto,** Emilie Snell-Rood,*** Justen Andrews,**
* Department of Statistics, Indiana University
** Center for Genomic Biology, Indiana University
*** Department of Biology, University of Minnesota
The Application of Statistical Equivalence Testing by a Military Operational Test Agency
Brittney Cates (Marine Corps Operational Testing and Evaluation Activity)
Info-Metrics and Estimation of Extreme Events
Amos Golan (American University)
Large Fractional Factorial DIODE DOE
Curt Laumann & Bill Thomas (Raytheon)
Design of Experiments in Highly Constrained Design Spaces
Laura J. Freeman (Institute for Defense Analyses)
Evaluation
of Weapons System Performance in a Limited-Data Environment: Estimating
the Probability of Engagement Success for Missile Defense Systems
Carl Gaither (Institute for Defense Analyses)
Prioritizing Unaided Human Search in Military Simulations
CPT James K. Starling (United States Military Academy)
Pushing Geospatial Analytics to the Edge
MAJ Christopher Eastburg (United States Military Academy)
An Analysis of Crime Using High Dimensional and Collinear Predictors
MAJ Nicholas Clark (United States Military Academy)
Mixed Hidden Markov Models for Joint Outcomes
LTC John C. Jackson (United States Military Academy)
Uninformative Confidence Bounds in a Probit Analysis
David W. Webb (US Army Research Laboratory)
- Events:
- Social: Tuesday, October 18, Federal House Bar & Grill
- Wilks Award Banquet: Wednesday, October 19, O'Callaghan
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