FINAL AGENDA
THIRTEENTH U.S. ARMY CONFERENCE ON APPLIED STATISTICS A Conference of the Interface Foundation of North America Rice University, Houston 17-19 October, 2007 Hosted by the Department of Statistics, Rice University (EXCEPT WHERE NOTED, ALL EVENTS ARE SCHEDULED FOR DUNCAN HALL) *********************************************************************************** Monday, October 15 0800 - 0830 REGISTRATION (Duncan Hall) 0830 - 1200 TUTORIAL (McMurtry Auditorium) "An Introduction to Network Analysis"
Stan Wasserman and Ann McCranie, Indiana University
1100 - 1200 LUNCH (Room 3092)
1200 - 1700 TUTORIAL (continued) *********************************************************************************** Tuesday, October 16 0830 - 1200 TUTORIAL (McMurtry Auditorium)
1830 - Social and Registration (Duncan Hall [Martel Hall/Lobby]) *********************************************************************************** Wednesday, October 17 0800 - 0830 REGISTRATION (Duncan Hall)
Barry Bodt, Conference Chair, U.S. Army Research Laboratory Kathy Ensor, Department Chair, Rice University Department of Statistics Sallie Keller-McNulty, Dean of Engineering, Rice University 0845 - 0930 GENERAL SESSION I: Keynote Address (McMurtry Auditorium)
Chair: Alyson Wilson, Los Alamos National Laboratory
Statistical Methods for Electronic Biosurveillance
Ron Fricker, Navel Postgraduate School
“Statistics in Biodefense” Organizer & Chair: Marek Kimmel, Department of Statistics, Rice University
Primum Non Nocere
James R. Thompson, Department of Statistics, Rice University
Computational Modeling of a Botulinum Neurotoxin: Biowarfare Defense
James Briggs, Department of Biology and Biochemistry, University of Houston
Statistical Models for Protein Structural Alignment: Applications in Drug Design and Biodefense
Viacheslav Fofanov, Department of Statistics, Rice University
CONTRIBUTED SESSION I (Room 3092) Chair: David Cruess, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences
JFIT: A Fitting Tool for Johnson Probability Density Function Fitting to Data
Allan T. Mense, Raytheon Missile Systems Jerry Alderman, Raytheon Missile Systems
A Multinomial-Dirichlet Model for Analysis of Competing Hypotheses
Kristin A. Duncan, San Diego State University Jonathan Wilson, San Diego State University
CONTRIBUTED SESSION II (McMurtry Auditorium) Chair: LTC Lee Dewald, Virginia Military Institute
Studies in Military Medicine from the Center for Data Analysis and Statistics (CDAS) at West Point
LTC Rodney X. Sturdivant, United States Military Academy MAJ Krista Watts, United States Military Academy
Neonatal Mortality as Function of Secular Events: Flaws and Dangers of Present Methods of Statistical Analysis
Barbara P. Billauer, University of Maryland
1230 - 1330 LUNCH (Room 3092)
“Methods for the Analysis of Streaming Data” Organizer & Chair: William Szewczyk, National Security Agency
Histogramming in the Streaming Environment
Arnaldo Horta and Joseph McCloskey, National Security Agency
(title unavailable) Deepak Turaga, IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center Olivier Verscheure, IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center
Smoothed Histograms on Irregular Meshes with Streaming Data
David W. Scott, Rice University
CONTRIBUTED SESSION III (McMurtry Auditorium) Chair: Arthur Fries, Institute for Defense Analyses
A Useful Combinatorial Identity
Bernard Harris, University of Wisconsin
Optimal Delayed Control of Stochastic Systems
Mou-Hsiung (Harry) Chang, US Army Research Office
CONTRIBUTED SESSION IV (Room 3092) Chair: Nancy Dunn, U.S. Army Evaluation Center
Reliability Projections for a Stockpile with Potential to Degrade
Scott Vander Wiel, Los Alamos National Laboratory Todd Graves, Los Alamos National Laboratory Shane Reese, Brigham Young University Alyson Wilson, Los Alamos National Laboratory
Performance Prediction Combining Environmental and Cultural Factors: Grid-Group Cmα
Katie Grantham Lough, 21st Century Systems and University of Missouri-Rolla Warren Noll, 21st Century Systems Robert Woodley, 21st Century Systems Dan Krus, University of Missouri-Rolla
The Complexity Matching Effect
Bruce West, US Army Research Office
1830 - 2100 WILKS AWARD BANQUET (Duncan Hall [Martel Hall/Lobby])
1830 - SOCIAL 1930 - DINNER 2015 - BANQUET ADDRESS
People of Army Statistics: Stories and Surprises
David (Chris) Arney, U.S. Army Research Office 2045 - WILKS AWARD PRESENTATION Barry A. Bodt, U.S. Army Research Laboratory
*********************************************************************************** Thursday, October 18 0830 - 0915 GENERAL SESSION III (McMurtry Auditorium) Chair: Frank Samaniego, University of California, Davis
A Deeper Look into the Use of CBLA in Criminal Cases
Karen Kafadar, Indiana University Bloomington Cliff Spiegelman, Texas A&M
0915 - 0930 BREAK
0930 - 1100 CONTRIBUTED SESSIONS V and VI
CONTRIBUTED SESSION V (McMurtry Auditorium) Chair: Carl Russell, CTR Analytics
Determining Failure Probabilities by Density Estimation of a One Parameter Exponential Model
LCDR Kyle A Caudle, United States Naval Academy
On the Optimal Allocation of Components within Coherent Systems
D. Bhattacharya, Visva-Bharati University Francisco J. Samaniego, University of California, Davis
Lloyd Failure Discounting and “Magical” Reliability Growth Models
Arthur Fries, Institute for Defense Analyses
CONTRIBUTED SESSION VI (Room 3092) Chair: Doug Tang, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences
A Large Sample Confidence Interval for Variance
Douglas H. Frank, Indiana University of Pennsylvania.
Use of a Lumbar Support in Relieving and Preventing Lower Back Pain in Helicopter Crews
MAJ Krista Watts, United States Military Academy LTC Rodney X. Sturdivant, United States Military Academy LTC Nicholas Piantanida, M.D., Army Medical Department, West Point CDT Geoffrey Phillips, United States Military Academy
Shoulder Disclocation in Active Duty U.S. Military Personnel
LTC Robert E. Burks, United States Military Academy MAJ Krista Watts, United States Military Academy LTC Rodney X. Sturdivant, United States Military Academy
1100 - 1115 BREAK
1115 - 1200 GENERAL SESSION IV (McMurtry Auditorium)
Chair: David Webb, US Army Research Laboratory
Generalized Confidence Intervals for Some Bivariate Normal Problems
Thomas Mathew, University of Maryland Baltimore County
1200 - 1315 LUNCH (NOTE – HERTZSTEIN HALL)
Statistics, Rice & the DoD
Kathy Ensor, Rice University
1315 - 1445 SPECIAL SESSION III (McMurtry Auditorium)
“Event Pattern Recognition for Counter-Terrorism” Organizer & Chair: Harry Chang, U.S. Army Research Office
Probabilistic Framework for Detecting and Tracking Hostile Intentions in the Hats World
Paul Cohen USC Information Sciences Institute Aram Galstyan USC Information Sciences Institute
Nonlinear Filters: New Approaches
Boris Rozovskii, Brown University
Decentralized Quickest Change Detection in Distributed Sensor Systems with Applications to Information Assurance and Counter Terrorism
Alexander Tartakovsky, University of Southern California
1445 - 1500 BREAK
CONTRIBUTED SESSION VII (Room 3092) Chair: David Scott, Rice University
Semiparametric Sequential Optimal Designs for Generalized Linear Models
Joseph D. Warfield, Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County & Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory Anindya Roy, University of Maryland Baltimore County
Variability Analysis for Design of Complex Systems
William Thomas, Raytheon Missile Systems
The Search for Spatial and Spatio-Temporal Anomalies
Michael D. Porter, North Carolina State University
CONTRIBUTED SESSION VIII (McMurtry Auditorium) Chair: Chris Arney, U.S. Army Research Office
Simple Robust Strategies for Portfolio Design
James R. Thompson, Rice University
L. Scott Baggett, Rice University
Regression and Variable Selection in Large p, Small n Problems
Wei-Yin Loh, University of Wisconsin, Madison
Anti-American Attitudes in the Islamic World: An Analysis Using CART Models
Giacomo Chiozza, University of California, Berkeley
***********************************************************************************
Friday, October 19
0830 - 0915 GENERAL SESSION V (McMurtry Auditorium)
Chair: Jacqueline Telford, Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory
What is Manifold Learning?
Mike Trosset, Indiana University 0915 - 0930 Break 0930 – 1000 CONTRIBUTED SESSION IX (McMurtry Auditorium)
Chair: MAJ Kristen Watts, United States Military Academy
Assessment of Risk Associated with Safe Operations of Unmanned Ground Systems
Barry A. Bodt, U.S. Army Research Laboratory 1000- 1015 Break 1015 - 1100 GENERAL SESSION VI (McMurtry Auditorium)
Chair: Barry A. Bodt, U.S. Army Research Laboratory
Heavy Traffic Analysis of Controlled Queuing Networks
Amarjit Budhiraja, University of North Carolina 1100 - ADJOURNMENT