7th U.S. Army Conference
on Applied Statistics

The Bishop's Lodge

The Seventh U.S. Army Conference on Applied Statistics was hosted by Los Alamos National Laboratory, 24-26 October, 2001 at the Bishop's Lodge in Santa Fe, NM. The conference was co-sponsored by the U.S. Army Research Laboratory (ARL), the U.S. Army Research Office (ARO), the United States Military Academy (USMA), the Training and Doctrine Command (TRADOC) Analysis Center-White Sands Missile Range, the Walter Reed Army Institute of Research (WRAIR), and the National Institute for Standards and Technology (NIST). Cooperating organizations included the Los Alamos National Laboratory, George Mason University, Office of Naval Research, and the Institute for Defense Analysis. Approximately 90 people attended, continuing the success of the 6th conference at Rice University. A bulletized accounting of the conference program is given.

• Short Course:
  "Applied Logistic Regression," taught by David Hosmer, University of Massachusetts, will precede the conference on 22-23 October. The tutorial will start at 0830.
  
• Invited Speakers:
  
  • David Scott, Rice University (Keynote Address)
    On a New Approach to Robust Estimation
  • WJ Conover, Texas Tech University
    Some Locally Most Powerful Rank Tests for Correlation
  • William Meeker, Iowa State University
    Accelerated Testing: Obtaining Reliability Information Quickly
  • Leo Breiman, University of California
    Predicting and Understanding Complex Data
  • Juergen Symanzik, Utah State University
    Visual Data Mining of Remote Sensing Data
  • Bin Yu, University of California
    Boosting with the L2 Loss: Regression and Classification
    
• Banquet Speaker:
  
  • J. Darrell Morgeson, Director, Decision Applications Division, Los Alamos National Laboratory
    Understanding Societies Needs of the 21st Century
    
• Special Sessions:
  
  • Information Assurance
    • Jeff Solka, Naval Surface Warfare Center
    • Sushil Jajodia, George Mason University
    • Diane Lambert, Bell Labs
      
  • Urban Warfare
    • Russell W. Glenn, RAND
      Nuggetizing the Elephant
    • Lt. Col. Matt Begert, LAW-West
      Analysis of Urban Terrorism
    • Greg Tackett, U.S. Army Aviation and Missile Research, Development, and Engineering Center (AMRDEC)
      Real-Time, Pseudo-Randomly Generated Features for Combat Experimentation in Urban Sprawl
    • Danny C. Champion, Training and Doctrine (TRADOC) Analysis Center ­ White Sands Missile Range (TRAC-WSMR)
      International Trends in MOUT Research
      
  • Case Studies in Elicitation and Quantification of Expertise and Expert Judgement
    • Mary Meyer, Los Alamos National Laboratory
    • Jerry Morzinski, Los Alamos National Laboratory
    • Laura McNamara, Los Alamos National Laboratory
    • Gregory Wilson, Los Alamos National Laboratory
      
      
• Events:
  • Social: Tuesday, October 23.
  • Wilks Award Banquet: Wednesday, October 24.
    
• Contributed Papers:
  • Bruce J. West, U.S. Army Research Office
    The Biggest, The Oldest, and Other Such Extremes
    
  • Robert Launer, U.S. Army Research Office
    Exact Moments of the 2 x 2 x 2 Distribution
    
  • Jock O. Grynovicki, U.S. Army Research Laboratory
    Knowledge-Based System Engineering for the Army Battle Command System
    
  • Thomas Mathew, University of Maryland, Baltimore County
    David W. Webb, U.S. Army Research Laboratory
    Mixed Model Inference for Army Test and Evaluation
    
  • Robert L. Fry, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory
    Cybernetic Ballistic Missile Defense System
    
  • Jacqueline K. Telford, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory
    Sensitivity Analysis using Design of Experiments in Ballistic Missile Defense
    
  • Fernando J. Pineda, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physic Laboratory
    Model-based Methods for Biological Agent Identification in Mass Spectrometry
    
  • Vicente J. Romero, Sandia National Laboratories
    On the Implementation of a Replication Paradigm for Calculating Confidence Intervals on Latin Hypercube Statistics
    
  • Art Fries, Institute of Defense Analysis
    Liars, Damned Liars, and Statisticians
    
  • Bernard Harris, University of Wisconsin-Madison
    The Moment Preservation Method of Cluster Analysis
    
  • Joanne Wendelberger, Los Alamos National Laboratory
    Statistical Assessment of Aging Materials
    
  • Karen Kafadar, University of Colorado-Denver
    Measuring the Effect of Length-Biased Sampling When the Variable Being Sampled is Unobserved
    
  • Scott M. Vickers, MCR Federal Inc.
    Reducing the Error in Estimating Production Costs of Multiple-Unit Procurements
    
  • Francisco J. Samaniego, University of California, Davis
    Linking Dominations and Signatures in Network Reliability Theory
    
  • James R. Thompson, Rice University
    Market Modeling without Martingales: Time-Indexed Risk Profile Analysis
    
  • Gene Dutoit and William Guest, Dismounted Battlespace Battle Lab
    Michael Statkus, Natick Soldier Center
    Arthur Garrett, Army Materiel Systems Analysis Activity
    Luci Salvi, Army Research Laboratory
    Human Science Data for Modeling and Analysis in MOUT
    
  • Chris Christenson, Institute for Defense Analysis
    Analysis in the MOUT ACTD
    
  • Pinyuen Chen, Syracuse University
    Development of a Multi-step Procedure for Estimating the Number of Signals
    
  • Andreas Futschik, University of California at Berkeley
    Subsampling of Biased Statistics with Application to the Identification of Locations of Extremal Points
    
  • C. Shane Reese, Los Alamos National Laboratory
    Statistical Issues for Non-Destructive Versus Destructive Evaluation
    
  • Katherine Campbell, Los Alamos National Laboratory
    Functional Sensitivity Analysis of Computer Model Output
    
  • Roger Johnston, Los Alamos National Laboratory
    Statistical Artifacts in the Ratio of Discrete Quantities
    
  • Roger Johnston, Los Alamos National Laboratory
    Statistics for Evaluating the Vulnerability of Tags and Tamper-Indicating Seals
    
  • Jane Booker, Mark Anderson, and Mary Meyer, Los Alamos National Laboratory
    The Role of Expert Knowledge in Uncertainty Quantification (Are We Adding More Uncertainty or More Understanding?)
    
  • Danny C. Champion, Training and Doctrine (TRADOC) Analysis Center ­ White Sands Missile Range (TRAC-WSMR)
    The Prediction of Line-of-Sight in Vegetation Using Remote Sources
    
  • David Kim, United States Military Academy
    Order-Adapted Kernel Density Estimation
    
  • Nozer D. Singpurwalla, George Washington University
    Optimal Reliability Apportionment
    
  • Tom Burr, Angela Mielke, and Abe Jacobson, Los Alamos National Laboratory
    Identifying Storms in Noisy Radio Frequency Data via Satellite: an Application of Density Estimation and Cluster Analysis
    
  • Jesse Poore, University of Tennessee
    Siddhartha Dalal, Telcordia
    Statistical Methods in Software Engineering for Defense Systems: Summary of a Workshop
    
  • Cadet First Class Christopher Jeffreys and Maj Jim Wisnowski, United States Air Force Academy
    Itroduction to Data Mining with Military Applications