FINAL AGENDA
TWELFTH ARMY CONFERENCE ON APPLIED STATISTICS
A Conference of the Interface
Foundation of North America
Research Triangle Park, North Carolina
18-20 October, 2006
Hosted by the National Institute of Statistical
Sciences
Monday,
October 16
0800
- 0830 REGISTRATION (NISS)
0830
- 1200 TUTORIAL (NISS)
Robust Nonparametric Methods for the
General Linear Model
Joseph W. McKean, Western Michigan
University
Jeff Terpstra, North Dakota State University
1200
- 1315 Lunch
1315
- 1600 TUTORIAL
Tuesday,
October 17
0830
- 1200 TUTORIAL
1200
- 1315 Lunch
1315
- 1600 TUTORIAL
1830
- SOCIAL (Radisson D&E)
Wednesday,
October 18
0800
- 0830 REGISTRATION (Room D&E)
0830
- 0900 CALL TO ORDER AND WELCOME (Room D&E)
Barry Bodt, Conference Chair, US Army Research
Laboratory
Alan Karr, Director, National Institute of
Statistical Sciences
0900
- 1030 GENERAL SESSION I (Room D&E)
Chair: Barry Bodt, US Army Research Laboratory
Scan
Statistics on Enron Graphs (Keynote)
Carey
Priebe, Johns Hopkins University
Wednesday
continued
Maximum
Likelihood Estimation in Semiparametric Regression Models with Censored Data
Danyu
Lin, University of North Carolina
1030
- 1045 Break
1045
- 1215 CONTRIBUTED SESSION I (Room C)
Chair: Harry Chang, US Army Research Office
On
Comparing Systems of Different Sizes
Francisco
J. Samaniego, University of California, Davis
A
Multivariate Spatial Modeling Framework for Hurricane Surface Wind Fields to
Improve Coastal Ocean Prediction
Montserrat Fuentes, North Carolina State
University
Nonparametric
Bayes Methods for Dependent Data
Jayaram Sethuraman, Florida State University
CONTRIBUTED
SESSION II (Room D&E)
Chair: Lee Dewald, Virginia Military Institute
Outlier
Detection for Monitoring and/or Sensor Networks
Katherine B. Ensor, Rice University
Modeling
Co-occurrence Patterns in Space and Time
James P. Rogers and James A. Shine, US
Army ERDC-TEC
Shashi Shekhar, AHPCRC and University of Minnesota
Mete Celik, University of Minnesota
Spatio-Temporal
Prediction of Iraqi Events
James A. Shine, Paul F. Krause and
Kathleen L. Flood, US Army ERDC-TEC
1215
- 1315 Lunch
1315
– 1445 SPECIAL SESSION I: Statistical
Frontiers at RTP
(Room D&E)
Chair: Ed
Davis, University of North Carolina
Semiparametric
Bayesian Latent Trajectory Models
Amy Herring, University of North Carolina
A
Semiparametric Additive Rates Model for Recurrent Event Data
Jianwen Cai, University of North Carolina
Variable
Selection in Regression Mixture Modeling for theDiscover of Gene Regulatory
Networks
Joe Ibrahim, University of North Carolina
Wednesday
continued
1445
- 1500 Break
1500
- 1630 CONTRIBUTED SESSION III (Room C)
Chair: Ann E. M. Brodeen, US Army Research
Laboratory
Checking
Whether Seasonal Incidence Rates Can be Attributed to Seasonal
Sub-population Sampling
Art
Fries, Institute for Defense Analyses
On
Bootstrap Tests of Hypotheses
Wei-Yin
Loh, University of Wisconsin, Madison
The
R-statistic: A New Goodness-of-Fit Test
Allan Mense, Raytheon Missile Systems
Jerry L Alderman, Raytheon Missile Systems
CLINICAL
SESSION (Room D&E)
Chair: Paul Deason, SAIC
Panel: James
R. Thompson, Rice University
Karen
Kafadar, University of Colorado-Denver
Estimation
of a Weibull Mixture Distribution
David
Webb, US Army Research Laboratory
Dynamic
Survival Modeling of International and Civil Conflict Risk
David
S. Siroky, Duke University
Analyzing
Irradiance and Trajectories of Rocket, Artillery, Mortar (RAM) Generated in a
Closed Form Constructive Monte Carlo Simulation
Robert
H. Vasse, SAIC
1630
- 1645 Break
1645-1730
GENERAL SESSION II: (Room D&E)
Chair: Jackie Telford, Johns Hopkins University
Applied Physics Laboratory
Attacking
Biosurveillance Challenges with Statistical Weapons
Galit
Shmueli, University of Maryland
1830
- 2100 WILKS AWARD BANQUET (Salon B)
1830 – SOCIAL
1930 – DINNER
Wednesday
continued
2015 - BANQUET ADDRESS
Degrees
of Separation: A Case for the Impact of Statistics on Defense
C. Shane Reese, Brigham Young
University
2045 - AWARD PRESENTATION
Jock Grynovicki, US Army Research Laboratory
Thursday,
October 19
0830
- 0915 GENERAL SESSION III (Room D&E)
Chair: David Webb, US Army Research Laboratory
Discrete
Choice Models for Asymmetric Warfare Attack Prediction
Don
Brown, University of Virginia
0915 – 0930 Break
0930 – 1030 SPECIAL SESSION
IN HONOR OF BERNARD HARRIS ON HIS 80TH BIRTHDAY
(Room
C)
Chair:
Francisco J. Samaniego, University of California, Davis
Nozer
D. Singpurwalla, George Washington University
Chong
Jin Park, San Diego State University
CONTRIBUTED
SESSION IV (Room D&E)
Chair: David Cruess, Uniformed Services
University of the Health Sciences
System
Engineering Framework for Evaluating US Army Battle Command System Capabilities
and Limitations
Jock
O. Grynovicki, US Army Research Laboratory
Inter-Rater
Assessment of Select ISLE Metrics for the PLATO Evaluation Paradigm
Ann
E. M. Brodeen, Michelle T. Vanni, and Michelle C. McVey US Army Research
Laboratory
Keith J. Miller, Mitre
1030
- 1045 Break
Thursday Continued
1045
- 1215 SPECIAL SESSION II: Information
Technology Research at NISS: Data Confidentiality and
Software
Engineering
(Room D&E)
Chair: Alan
F. Karr, National Institute of Statistical Sciences
Pooled
ANOVA
Michael
Last, National Institute of Statistical Sciences
Combinations
of SDC Methods for Numerical Microdata
Anna
Oganian, National Institute of Statistical Sciences
New
Measures of Data Utility
Mi-Ja
Woo, National Institute of Statistical Sciences
1215
- 1315 Lunch
1315
– 1515 CONTRIBUTED SESSION V (Room D&E)
Chair: Carl Russell, CTR Analytics
De-Bunking
the School of the Americas Myth: An Empirical Investigation Using Ordered Logit
Models with Random Intercepts
Carol
Atkinson, University of Southern California, Los Angeles
Brigade
Level Simulation of Transition and Sustainment (BLSTAS) (under initial
development)
Paul
J. Deason, U.S. Army Analysis Fellow (Retired) and SAIC
Value
Added Outcomes in Military Service Educational Programs: Comparing New and Old
Technologies and Methods
MAJ
Krista Watts and LTC Rodney X. Sturdivant, United States Military Academy -
West Point
Army
Officer Forecasting Models
LTC
Mark W. Lukens, Ph.D., Army G-1
CONTRIBUTED
SESSION VI (Room C)
Chair: Barry Bodt, US Army Research Laboratory
Optimal
Stopping of Stochastic Delay Equations and Applications
Mou-Hsiung
(Harry) Chang, US Army Research Office
The
Little Formula that Beats the Market
James
R. Thompson and L. Scott Baggett, Rice University
Fractional
Calculus Modeling Physiologic Networks
Bruce
J. West, US Army Research Office
1515
- 1530 Break
1530
– 1615 SPECIAL SESSION TO COMMEMORATE ROBERT LAUNERÕS LIFETIME SERVICE
(Room
D&E)
Chair:
James R. Thompson, Rice University
Nozer
D. Singpurwalla, George Washington University
James
R. Thompson, Rice University
Friday,
October 20
0815
- 0900 GENERAL SESSION IV (Room D&E)
Chair: LTC Rodney
X. Sturdivant,
United States Military Academy, West Point
The
Hockey Stick Controversy: Lessons for Statisticians
Edward
Wegman, George Mason University
Yasmin Said, Johns Hopkins University
David Scott, Rice University
0900
- 0915 Break
0915
– 1045 CONTRIBUTED SESSION VII (Room D&E)
Chair: Doug Tang, Uniformed Services University
of the Health Sciences
Letter
Value Box Plots: Box Plots for Large Data Sets
Heike
Hoffman, Iowa State University
Karen Kafadar, University of Colorado-Denver
Hadley Wickham, Iowa State University
Second
Generation Point Estimation Methods
Jerry
L. Alderman, Raytheon Missile Systems
Allan Mense, Raytheon Missile Systems
Orthogonal-Maximin
Latin Hypercube Designs
V.
Roshan Joseph and Ying Hung, Georgia Institute of Technology
CONTRIBUTED
SESSION VIII (Room C)
Chair: Charles White, Walter Reed Army Institute
of Research
Statistical
Analyses of Test Data on Mine Clearing: Part 2
Jacqueline
K. Telford, The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory
Evaluation
of Commercial Aluminum Alloys for Armor and Vehicle Upgrade
John
F. Chinella, Mathew Burkins, Tyrone Jones, and William Gooch, US Army Research
Laboratory
Friday Continued
Simulation
Study of Army Precision Guided Artillery in an Urban Operation
Lee
Shockley, SAIC, Sam Whitfield, PM Mortars, Ft. Benning, GA
Paul Deason, Army Analysis Fellow (Retired) & SAIC
1045
- 1100 Break
1100
- 1230 SPECIAL SESSION: SOCIAL
NETWORK ANALYSIS (Room D&E)
Chair: Edward Wegman, George Mason University
The
Need for a Tensor Theory of Social Networks
John
E. Gray and John T. Rigsby, Naval Surface Warefare Center
Social
Networks within Calling Networks
Eric
Vance, Duke University
Models for Dynamic Social Networks
Alan
Karr, National Institute of Statistical Sciences
1230
- ADJOURN