Program in Brief

• Welcome:
• TBD
  
  
  
• Short Course:
  
  
  Bayesian Inference
  Prof. Robert Gramacy (University of Chicago) will present a short course "Bayesian Inference " on October 19 & 20 preceding the conference beginning on October 21. 
  
  
  
• Invited Speakers:
• Catherine Warner, Institute for Defense Analyses
  Rigorous, Defensible, Efficient Testing
• Sallie Keller, Virginia Tech
  Data, Models, and Analytics
• Edward Wegman, George Mason University
  Malware Static Analysis Techniques Using a Multidisciplinary Approach
• Bradley Jones, SAS/JMP
  Design Oriented Modeling: A Powerful Approach for Model Selection for Definitive Screening Designs
  
  
• Special Sessions:
• Design of Experiments
  Organizer: Tom Donnelly, SAS/JMP
  
  Design and Analysis for Constraining Dynamic Network Simulation Models with Observational Data
  David Higdon, Jiangzhuo Chen, Virginia BioInformatics Institute, Virginia Tech
  
  Incorporating Confidence Intervals On the Decision Threshold in Logistic Regression
  Michael J. Kist and Rachel T. Silvestrini, Industrial and Systems Engineering Department, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rochester, N
  
  Covering Arrays: A Tool to Construct Efficient Test Suites for Validating Software Systems
  Joseph Morgan and Ryan Lekivetz, SAS/JMP
  
  
• Text Mining
  Organizer: Ed Wegman, George Mason University
  
  Mining Text Networks
  David Banks, Duke University
  
  Modeling the Evolution and Influence of Blogger’s Topic Sentiment and Opinion Profile
  Michael James Garrity
  
  Preserving Semantic Content in Text Mining Using Multigrams
  Yasmin H. Said
  
  
• Cooperative Studies at the VA
  Organizers: Barry Bodt, Army Research Laboratory, and David Webb, Army Test and Evaluation Command
  
  CSP #579: The Health of Vietnam Era Women's Study (HealthViEWS)
  Tracey Serpi, Perry Point Cooperative Studies Program Coordinating Center, VA
  
  CSP #504: Risperidone Treatment for Military Service Related Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD)
  Karen Jones, Perry Point Cooperative Studies Program Coordinating Center, VA
  
  

Contributed Papers:

Tractable Analysis of Experiments on High-dimensional Simulation Codes
Matthew Plumlee, University of Michigan

Computational Geometry for Multivariate Statistics
John Nolan, American University

Statistical Design and Validation of Modeling and Simulation (M&S) Tools Used in Operational Tesitng
Kelly McGinnity and Laura Freeman, Institute for Defense Analyses

Learning Bayesian Network Structure using Data from Designed Simulation Experiments
Jarom Ballantyne, Terril Hurst, Allan Mense, Raytheon Missile Systems

Modeling Adversarial Sensor Networks Using Generalized Stochastic Petri Nets
Terril Hurst, Kris Kukla, Daniel Rosser, James Kimmet, Ratytheon Missile Systems

Derivation of the Distribution Function for the Tampered Brownian Motion Process Model
Arthur Fries, Institute for Defense Analysis

Summary of Findings and Recommendations from the National Research Council Report on "Reliability Growth: Enhancing Defense System Reliability"
Arthur Fries, (Chair) Institute for Defense Analyses, W. Peter Cherry, Science Applications International Corporation, Robert Easterling, Statistical Consultant, Elsayed A. Elsayed, Rutgers University, Aparnav Huzurbazar, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Patricia A. Jacobs, Naval Postgraduate School, William Q. Meeker, Jr., Iowa State University, Nachi Nagappan, Microsoft Research, Michael Pecht, University of Maryland, Ananda Sen, University of Michigan, Scott Vander Wiel, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Constance F. Citro, Director, Committee on National Statistics, Michael L. Cohen, Study Director, Michael J. Siri, Program Associate

Modeling an Augmented Lagrangian for Blackbox Constrained Optimization
Robert Gramacy, University of Chicago

Maximum Likelihood Estimation of a Non-homogeneous Poisson Process Software Reliability Model with the Expectation Conditional Maximization Algorithm
Vidhyashree Nagaraju¹, Thierry Wandji², and Lance Fiondella^1*
University of Massachusetts¹, Naval Air Systems Command²

Bayesian Hierarchical Models for Common Components Across Multiple System Configurations
Kassie Fronczyk¹, Rebecca Dickinson¹, Alyson Wilson², Caleb Browning², and Laura Freeman¹
Operational Evaluation Division, Institute for Defense Analyses¹ and Department of Statistics,
North Carolina State University²

Estimating System Reliability from Heterogeneous Data
Caleb Browning¹, Laura Freeman², Alyson Wilson¹, Kassie Fronczyk², and Rebecca Dickinson²
Department of Statistics, North Carolina State University¹, Operational Evaluation Division, Institute for Defense Analyses²

Ammunition Projectile Chemical Coating Experiment with Design Oriented Modeling
Doug Ray, U.S. Army Armament Research, Development and Engineering Center (ARDEC),
Tom Donnelly, SAS Institute Inc., JMP Division

A Design of Experiments approach to evaluating Parameterization Schemes for Numerical Weather Prediction (Clinical Paper)
Jeffrey A. Smith, US Army Research Laboratory and Richard Penc, US Army Research Laboratory through the Oak Ridge Associated Universities

Events:
Mixer, Wednesday, 21 October

Wilks Luncheon, Thursday, 22 October

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